Man United vs Liverpool Prediction: Lineups, Odds and Stats

Man United host Liverpool in the standout clash of round 35 in the 2025-26 Premier League (PL) season, seeking to claim three points in the battle for third place and qualify for next season’s Champions League.

The Red Devils, on a two-match winning run, are eager to one-up their North West rivals. Arne Slot’s Liverpool are on a three-match winning streak themselves. Man United are slightly favoured to win Sunday’s featured game at Old Trafford.

Can Liverpool Stop Man United’s Top Three March?

With just four league games to play, Man United look well-placed to secure third spot. United have won 11 of 17 PL home games, so Liverpool could struggle to get a result. It’s been largely all-or-nothing for the Reds away, with seven wins and seven losses on the road.

Liverpool are eight points clear of sixth-placed Brighton, yet their trip to Old Trafford feels like a six-pointer and potential third-place decider.

Where Is The Best Value In This Match?

The pre-game odds suggest Man United are minor favourites to snatch three points – and this time I agree with the odds compilers. Based on a record of six wins from seven home league games since Michael Carrick arrived, Man United to win at odds of 2.30 seems decent value.

Even at short odds, I also look at both teams to score. United failed to keep a clean sheet in four recent home matches, while Liverpool have netted in 5 successive away trips.

Bruno Fernandes has 19 PL assists, one short of the league assists record. With four games to achieve that feat, he’s likely to be heavily involved in United attacks. You can find odds of 3.40 for Fernandes to score against Liverpool, adding to his 8 strikes in 31 PL games.

Another Man United midfielder also catches the eye. Casemiro has two goals in his previous three PL appearances, and he is best priced at 6.0 to score.

Best Predictions For The Match

My first prediction is Man United to win this game. Michael Carrick’s side are coming off two wins, and have strong motivation to maintain third place over Liverpool.

Going into this match, Man United are third in the PL standings, just three points clear of Liverpool. They dispatched Brentford 2-1 last Monday, following up a 1-0 win at Chelsea.

Liverpool head into this clash in fine form, fourth in the PL table after winning their last three league games. But the Reds may have to rely on third-choice goalkeeper Freddie Woodman, as they face a lengthy injury list.

Both Man United and Liverpool’s recent matches featured plenty of goals, so I’m sticking with both teams to score (at odds of 1.45).

Over 2.5 goals (1.50 odds) looks like a solid pick. Man United-Liverpool fixtures tend to produce goals, and both boast potent attacks. But United have conceded 46 goals and Liverpool 44, the worst defensive stats in the top six.

Key Statistics

• Liverpool lead the last ten H2Hs with four wins to United’s three. But United won two of the last five.
• Both teams scored in four of the last five Man United-Liverpool H2Hs meetings.
• The last five H2Hs produced 17 goals, including 4+ goals in four of those.
• Two of the last five H2Hs ended as 2-2 draws.
• Since January 2026, Man United have a 69% win record (W9 D2 L2) under Michael Carrick.
• Man United are the division’s third-highest scorers (60 goals in 34 games), and Liverpool are fourth (57 goals).
• One player from each side has double-figure PL goals – Liverpool’s Hugo Ekitike (11) and Man United’s Benjamin Sesko (ten).

Predicted Lineups and Missing Players

• Man United (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens – Diogo Dalot, Ayden Heaven, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw – Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo – Bruno Fernandes, Amad Diallo, Bryan Mbeumo – Benjamin Sesko

Man United are without Matthijs de Ligt (back), while Luke Shaw (knock) and Matheus Cunha (hip flexor) are doubtful. But Lisandro Martinez is suspended. However, Patrick Dorgu could return to first-team action.

• Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Freddie Woodman – Curtis Jones, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andy Robertson – Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Cody Gakpo, Florian Wirtz, Jeremie Frimpong – Alexander Isak

Liverpool have several injuries, including Hugo Ekitike (achilles), goalkeepers Giorgi Mamardashvili (leg) and Alisson Becker (muscle injury), Mohamed Salah (hamstring), Wataru Endo (broken ankle), Stefan Bajcetic (hamstring), Conor Bradley (knee), and Giovanni Leoni (ACL).

United To Break Liverpool’s Resistance

Man United will defeat Liverpool to secure Champions League qualification and march towards a third-place finish. In a typically fiery North West battle, United will claim victory in a Sunday match full of goals.

*Odds are subject to change.