Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction: Analysis, Lineups and Statistics

In the blue riband clash of round 36 in the Premier League (PL) season, Liverpool will lock horns with Chelsea as they seek to claim a top-five finish. Despite losing 3-2 at Man United last Sunday, the Reds have won five of their last six PL games at Anfield. Chelsea will look to spoil the Reds’ ambitions in Saturday’s 12:30 pm lunchtime kick-off.

However, Chelsea have lost their last six league matches, and are now in ninth place, ten points adrift of the top five. The Blues are in danger of drifting down into mid-table, so Liverpool are expected to add to Chelsea’s woes.

Why Are Pundits Predicting A One-Sided Match?

Last weekend’s defeat to Man United broke Liverpool’s 3-game winning streak. Even in defeat, the Reds showed resilience, battling back from two goals down before losing. Those fighting qualities should be enough to overcome a Chelsea side low on belief.

Chelsea’s abject 3-1 home defeat to Nottingham Forest last Monday doesn’t bode well for this daunting trip to Anfield.

Which Markets Should You Look At?

Ten points ahead of Chelsea after 35 games, Liverpool are the bookmakers’ favourites to win this match. Liverpool’s recent home form includes wins over Crystal Palace (3-1) and Fulham (2-0). Yet, the odds for a Liverpool win seem undervalued, so you could find value in the Match Result market.

Chelsea have 2026 away wins at Crystal Palace (3–1), Wolves (3–1), and Aston Villa (4-1), but those victories happened in January to March, so they seem little threat to Liverpool based on their current six-match losing run in the Premier League.

Although the odds suggest both teams are likely to score, Chelsea have scored just once in their last six PL games. Their most recent away trips include 3-0 losses at Brighton and Everton. So, the both teams to score “no” market may be overlooked.

Looking at possible goal scorers, Dominik Szoboszlai to score (at odds of 4.0) stands out. Liverpool’s Hungarian midfielder has six league goals and five assists in 33 appearances. He can produce magical moments like his driving solo goal against Man United in round 35.

Even if Chelsea fail to score, you can back Joao Pedro 1+ shot on target at odds of 1.80. 15 PL goals mark the Portuguese forward as Chelsea’s main dangerman.

Best Predictions For The Match

My headline prediction is for Liverpool to beat Chelsea (1.85 odds). The Reds have a solid home record this season, winning ten of 17 PL games at Anfield. Arne Slot’s men will be motivated to secure three points and solidify their top-five league position.

Going into round 36, Liverpool sit fourth in the PL standings and have scored at least twice in the last four PL matchweeks. So, they have the goalscoring prowess and confidence to sweep Chelsea aside. Indeed, Chelsea’s six PL defeats in a row saw them concede 3+ goals on four occasions.

Chelsea have struggled to score recently, so I prefer both teams to score “no” (2.70 odds) compared to BTTS yes at short odds of 1.44.

Key Statistics

• Liverpool have scored at least once in their last 14 league games.
• Chelsea won the last two head-to-head matches against Liverpool.
• Both teams scored in four of the last five Liverpool-Chelsea clashes.
• Between February 2022 and April 2023, these two teams played out four consecutive 0-0 draws.
• Liverpool are the PL’s fifth-highest scoring home team (32 goals in 17 matches).
• Chelsea have failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 league matches.

Predicted Lineups and Missing Players

• Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Freddie Woodman – Curtis Jones, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konate, Andy Robertson – Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai – Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo – Alexander Isak

Liverpool’s extensive injury list includes Giorgi Mamardashvili (leg), Alisson Becker (muscle injury), Mohamed Salah (hamstring), Wataru Endo (broken ankle), Stefan Bajcetic (hamstring), Hugo Ekitike (achilles), Giovanni Leoni (ACL), and Conor Bradley (knee).

• Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen – Josh Acheampong, Wesley Fofana, Jorrel Hato, Marc Cucurella – Romeo Lavia, Moises Caicedo – Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro – Liam Delap

The Blues may be without Alejandro Garnacho (knock), Pedro Neto (knock), Estevao (hamstring), Jamie Gittens (muscle injury), and both Jesse Derry and Robert Sanchez (head injuries).

Liverpool To Dominate Chelsea At Anfield

Backed by a passionate Anfield crowd, Liverpool will saunter to a routine win over Chelsea. The Blues could struggle to find the net, as Liverpool are poised to inflict Chelsea’s seventh straight league defeat.

*Odds are subject to change.