Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction: Lineups, Odds and Stats

*Odds are subject to change.

In matchweek 23 of the Premier League (PL) season, Newcastle take on high-flying Aston Villa at St James’ Park. Both teams are balancing league, domestic cup, and European action towards the business end of the campaign.

Jared Gillett will referee this game, which kicks off at 2:00 pm on Sunday, 25 January 2026.

Match Prediction

My first prediction is Newcastle to win. Although Villa are flying high in the league, Newcastle boast an H2H advantage. The Villans also have less than three days to recover from Thursday’s trip to Fenerbahce.

Recent Newcastle-Aston Villa goal fests suggest over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67. However, Newcastle have conceded 27, and Villa 25, so the H2H trend for over 3.5 goals is unlikely to repeat.

Newcastle Latest News & Analysis

Newcastle now sit eighth in the PL table with 33 points from 22 matches (W9 D6 L7).

Eddie Howe’s team has three wins from six matches in 2026. Wednesday’s 3-0 home victory over PSV restored some belief after a drab 0-0 at Wolves and a 2-0 EFL Cup defeat to Man City. Earlier in January, Newcastle beat Bournemouth on penalties to progress in the FA Cup. They started 2026 with successive PL home wins against Leeds (4-3) and Crystal Palace (2-0).

The Toon have lost just one of their last 15 matches. Indeed, the Magpies’ home PL record is top-six level (W7 D2 L2), but they have struggled away from St James’ Park (W2 D4 L5). However, there is a buzz around the Newcastle camp, as they sit only two points off fifth place.

Their main injuries are to defenders Dan Burn (ribs), Valentino Livramento (hamstring), Jamaal Lascelles (muscle injury), Fabian Schar (ankle), and Emil Krafth (knee). Jacob Murphy (hamstring) and William Osula (ankle) are also sidelined. Bruno Guimaraes is doubtful after injuring his ankle against PSV. Newcastle have no suspended players for the Aston Villa match.

Player in Focus

Harvey Barnes scored an important double against Bournemouth in the FA Cup. Can he add to 12 goals in 33 appearances? You can back Barnes to score at odds of 2.90 (Betway).

Aston Villa Latest News & Analysis

Aston Villa are third in the Premier League table with 43 points. In 22 league matches, Villa have 13 wins, four draws, and five losses.

Since ending 2025 with a 4-1 loss at Arsenal to end their 11-match winning sequence, Villa have secured three wins in five, including a 1-0 win at Fenerbahce on 22 January.

But goalscoring could be a concern. Unai Emery’s team scored six in their previous five league games. They failed to score in two successive PL matches, losing 1-0 at home against Everton and settling for a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace. Yet, a 2-1 FA Cup win at Tottenham followed a convincing 3-1 victory at Nottingham Forest.

Only Arsenal have a better PL away record than Villa’s 18 points (W5 D3 L3). So, they will be confident of performing well at St James’ Park. However, Thursday’s Europa League game in Fenerbahce could stretch a close-knit squad.

Current injuries include John McGinn (knee), Ross Barkley (knee), and Boubacar Kamara (knee), who is out for the season. Amadou Onana is back from a hamstring issue. But the Midlanders have no suspended players.

Player in Focus

Morgan Rogers has eight goals and six assists this season, including braces against West Ham. You can back Rogers to score against Newcastle at 3.70 (Ladbrokes).

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope – Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Lewis Hall – Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton – Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez – Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen – Youri Tielemans, Lamare Bogarde – Evann Guessand, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia – Ollie Watkins

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Previous Meetings

Newcastle won five of the last ten H2Hs (Villa won three). More recently, the Toon won three of the last five.

Three of the last five H2H battles had four or more goals. Newcastle have four home wins in a row against Villa, smashing 12 goals in the last three of those games.

Where to Watch Newcastle vs Aston Villa Live on TV?

This game is live on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event. Live streaming is also available for subscribers on Sky Go, the Sky Sports+ app, or Now TV with Sky Sports included.

Toon to win at fortress St James’ Park

Newcastle will extend their excellent home form with a hard-fought win. This clash should also produce many goals.