Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction: Possible Lineups, Odds & H2H Stats

*Odds are subject to change.

Chelsea will play Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge in round 18 of the Premier League season. This top-four clash finishes a packed post-Christmas Saturday of football.

Chelsea strive to hold on to a top four position, while Aston Villa want to maintain their superb form. Villa also want revenge for last season’s 3-0 defeat in this fixture.

The action kicks off at 5:30 pm on Saturday, 27th December 2025. Stuart Attwell will referee this match.

Match Prediction

In the Final Result market, I see a draw. Neither team has players away on African Cup of Nations duty. So, we should see a close, full-strength battle.

I’ll side with the recent H2H form and predict over 2.5 goals (1.66 at Bet365). Chelsea notched at least two goals in recent victories over Cardiff, Everton, and Barcelona. Villa have scored 2+ goals in five of their six recent PL games.

Chelsea Analysis

Chelsea have accumulated 29 points (W8 D5 L4) and stand fourth in the league, seven points behind Aston Villa.

Last Saturday, the Blues rebounded from 2-0 down at half-time to a 2-2 draw at Newcastle. This result means they have just one win in five PL games, including three draws. Chelsea have six goals for and against (average 1.2) in those matches.

Chelsea’s home form (W4 D2 L2) is almost identical to their away record (W4 D3 L2), as they aim to close the gap on Villa and the league’s top three.

A long-term knee injury keeps Levi Colwill on the sidelines. The other first-team injuries are Dario Essugo (thigh) and Romeo Lavia (thigh). Head Coach Enzo Marseca has confirmed that both Liam Delap and Estevao will be available for selection.

Mykhailo Mudryk continues his long-term suspension. Enzo Maresca will serve a one-match touchline suspension after his third booking of 2025-26 against Newcastle.

Player in Focus

Pedro Neto puts in tireless attacking and defensive work for Chelsea. As their joint-top PL scorer with five goals, the 25-year-old Portugal winger is a huge threat. You can back Neto to score a goal at 3.60 (Coral).

Aston Villa Analysis

Aston Villa have enjoyed an impressive run of form. At third in the PL standings (W11 D3 L3), Villa have 36 points in 17 matches, just three behind first-placed Arsenal.

In their last five league matches, Villa have scored 12 goals (2.4 average) and leaked seven (1.4 average).

A 20th December 2-1 win at home to Man United took Villa to ten consecutive wins in all competitions. This run includes seven PL wins on the bounce. The Villans recovered to win 3-2 at West Ham despite trailing twice. They also beat league leaders Arsenal 2-1 at home and won 4-3 at Brighton.

A solid away league record (W4 D2 L2) will give Villa confidence for the journey to west London. Unai Emery’s squad is in an excellent position, juggling domestic and Champions League action. But can they get a positive result before the 30th December trip to Arsenal?

On the injury front, defenders Tyrone Mings (hamstring), Pau Torres (calf), and Ross Barkley (knee) are still out. But the Villans have no suspended players.

Player in Focus

Morgan Rogers is in sparkling form. Two key goals in the 2-1 win over Man United boosted Villa’s number 27 to seven PL goals in 2025-26. If you think he’ll find the net, Rogers anytime goalscorer is 4.0 (bet365).

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez – Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez – Alejandro Garnacho, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto – Joao Pedro

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez – Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Victor Lindelof, Ian Maatsen – Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana – John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers – Ollie Watkins

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Previous Meetings

Chelsea have won two of the previous five clashes with Aston Villa. But Villa have two victories from their last three visits to Stamford Bridge.

The trends from five recent H2Hs show both teams scored three times. There were also over 2.5 goals on four occasions.

Where to Watch Chelsea vs Aston Villa Live on TV?

Sky Sports subscribers can watch this Saturday match on Sky Sports Main Event. Alternatively, see the Sky Go app for a live stream.

Blues and Villa will battle to a draw

Chelsea will struggle to beat a red-hot Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge. An electric early-evening kick-off could produce a draw and plenty of action at both ends.