Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction: Lineups, Odds and Stats

*Odds are subject to change.

It’s now round 29 of the Premier League (PL) campaign, as Aston Villa welcome Chelsea to Villa Park for a key battle in the race for a top four place.

Jarred Gillett will referee this match, which kicks off at 7:30 pm on Wednesday, 4th March 2026.

Match Prediction

In the match result market, I predict Chelsea to beat Aston Villa (2.40 at BetVictor). Both teams are coming off defeats, but Chelsea can build on their top four level away form to claim a massive away win.

Based on recent H2H trends, my second prediction is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65 (HollywoodBets) for the sixth Aston Villa-Chelsea match in a row.

Aston Villa Latest News & Analysis

After game round 28, Aston Villa slipped to fourth place in the PL standings with 51 points (W15 D6 L7), three points clear of fifth-placed Liverpool. Villa’s found the net just four times in the last five games (0.8 per game) in all competitions, conceding seven goals (1.7 per game).

A surprise 2-0 defeat at Wolves on 27th February means the Villans have one win in their last five PL games (W1 D2 L2). Unai Emery’s men also crashed out of the FA Cup to Newcastle, but they are through to the Europa League last 16.

Villa have scored just 38 league goals, the worst record among the PL’s top six teams. But with 30 goals conceded, they do boast the top flight’s third-best defensive record.

Despite recent shaky results, the Midlanders still have high hopes for a top four place. But this clash with Chelsea and the upcoming trip to Man United could define Villa’s season.

Aston Villa’s main injuries affect their midfield with Boubacar Kamara (knee), John McGinn (knee), and Youri Tielemans (ankle). Andres Garcia (muscle injury) is also sidelined. Villa have no suspensions.

Player in Focus

Morgan Rogers is Aston Villa’s joint top scorer (alongside Ollie Watkins) with eight PL goals but also has five league assists. You can back the England international to score a goal at odds of 3.0.

Chelsea Latest News & Analysis

Chelsea are currently sixth in the PL table with 45 points (W12 D9 L7), six points behind Aston Villa in the top four. Chelsea’s last five matches saw them score 11 (2.2 per match) and concede 6 (1.2 per match).

Sunday’s 2-1 defeat at Arsenal stopped Liam Rosenior’s 6-match unbeaten PL start to life at Chelsea (W4, D2). That London derby setback leaves Chelsea winless in three PL outings after draws versus Burnley and Leeds.

The Blues travel to Villa Park, battling to break into the top four. Heading into gameweek 29, Chelsea have the PL’s fourth-best away record (W6 D4 L4), with a plus nine goal difference (netting 26 goals and conceding 17).

Chelsea’s injured players include Levi Colwill (ACL) and Dario Essugo (muscle injury). Meanwhile, Jamie Gittens, Marc Cucurella and Estevao are out with hamstring issues.

Mykhailo Mudryk continues his suspension, but Wesley Fofana returns from a one-match ban. Pedro Neto got sent off at Arsenal (Chelsea’s tenth red card of 2025/26), so he will miss this match.

Player in Focus

Cole Palmer has bagged eight league goals in 2025-26. The mercurial forward is available at odds of 2.75 to score anytime at Aston Villa.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez – Matty Cash, Pau Torres, Ezri Konsa, Lucas Digne – Douglas Luiz, Amadou Onana – Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia – Ollie Watkins

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez – Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Malo Gusto – Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo – Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Cole Palmer – Joao Pedro

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Previous Meetings

Aston Villa and Chelsea claimed four wins each in the last ten H2Hs, including two apiece in the last five. But Villa won the last two meetings 2-1.

The stats show both teams scored in five of the last ten H2Hs. Six of those matches produced over 2.5 goals, including all of the last five.

Where to Watch Aston Villa vs Chelsea Live on TV?

UK football fans can watch live coverage of Aston Villa-Chelsea on the TNT Sports 3 channel. Subscribers can also watch a live stream on discovery+.

Chelsea To Enjoy Midweek Victory

Chelsea will secure a key win at Aston Villa, closing the gap on the top four. Villa Park could also see plenty of goals in a historically high-scoring fixture.